Why are “100 Year” floods happening so frequently? 

No, this is not a blog about climate change.  I should have started with this question: “Why didn’t I pay more attention in my high school Statistics course?”

My teacher, Mr. Nelson, was correct.  As he handed back one of my poorly executed assignments, he told me that a knowledge of statistics would serve me well later in life.  At the time, I thought it would be a cold day in an eternally hot location before that ever happened.

Now, I often find myself pondering probabilities and statistics.  No, I am not a DraftKings or FanDuel customer.  I’m preoccupied by less risky, more mundane topics like:  Is it just me, or are flights delayed and/or cancelled more frequently these days?  Do personal/work emergencies really happen more often on Friday afternoons . . . before a long weekend?  Or what are the odds of my picking the slowest moving supermarket lane again?    

You know what I mean.

I could go on with such musings, but this really is a blog about 100 Year Weather Events.  If you were like me, you probably assumed that 100 Year events (storms, floods . . .) are likely to occur only once every 100 years. Wrong!  As the linked Wikipedia article describes, there is a >60% chance that “100 Year” events will happen more than once every 100 years.

Who knew?

OK, Mr. Nelson probably knew.

Is it just me or is there a decided chill in the air?

Peter Dragone - Co-founder of Keurig.